Austria travel to face Israel in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November (20:45 WAT). Israel are 4th with 2 points from 4 games, while Austria sit 1st on 8 points.
Form guide
Israel's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Austria's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Kosovo 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Austria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 September 2026, finished Austria 3–1 Israel.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Israel and 2.0 for Austria. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Israel 19%, draw 21%, Austria 61%.
Safer route: Austria or draw (81%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.59.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Israel 0–2 Austria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Israel19%fair 5.39 · @4.26
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.11
Austria61%fair 1.65 · @1.65
3.01Expected goals
0.98Israel xG
2.03Austria xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Israel 1.0 – 2.0 Austria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Israel
Austria
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-28%
+48%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+12%
Our expected goals here
0.98
2.12
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
On our numbers Israel have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Austria 61%.
How many goals will there be in Israel vs Austria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Israel vs Austria?
Our predicted score is Israel 0–2 Austria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Israel vs Austria?
Israel vs Austria (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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