Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.50Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 58% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.10
Double chanceGreece or draw ✓79% · @1.50
Serbia vs Greece preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Nations League sees Serbia take on Greece on Thursday 24 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Serbia are 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Greece sit 2nd on 8 points.
Form guide
Serbia's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Mexico 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Greece's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Italy 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Betting angles
Win chances: Serbia 21%, draw 58%, Greece 21%.
Safer route: Greece or draw (79%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Draw at 3.10 – 58% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Greece or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Serbia21%fair 4.76 · @2.62
Draw58%fair 1.73 · @3.10
Greece21%fair 4.74 · @2.60
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.73
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Greece or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.50 ▲
Form
Serbia – last 4
LLWL
5 Jun
@ Mexico
1–5
L
31 May
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Spain
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Greece – last 4
LDDL
7 Jun
vs Italy
0–1
L
4 Jun
@ Sweden
2–2
D
31 Mar
@ Hungary
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Paraguay
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Serbia and Greece.
Our pick is Greece or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Serbia vs Greece?
On our numbers Serbia have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Greece 21%.
When is Serbia vs Greece?
Serbia vs Greece (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Andorra1
Malta2
Portugal1
Wales0
Norway3
Denmark2
Austria3
Israel1
Kosovo1
Rep. Of Ireland0
Liechtenstein0
Lithuania2