Netherlands vs Germany prediction & analysis
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Very little separates Netherlands and Germany on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Netherlands have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Germany have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Our pick is Either team to win at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Germany to win ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | 2.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.29 |
Form
Netherlands – last 6
| 30 Jun | vs Morocco | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | @ Tunisia | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | vs Sweden | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs Japan | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Jun | vs Uzbekistan | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Jun | vs Algeria | 0–1 | L |
Germany – last 6
| 29 Jun | vs Paraguay | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jun | @ Ecuador | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | vs Ivory Coast | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs Curaçao | 7–1 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ USA | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | vs Finland | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Germany.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | -5 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Andorra1
Malta2
Portugal1
Wales0
Norway3
Denmark2
Austria3
Israel1
Kosovo1
Rep. Of Ireland0
Liechtenstein0
Lithuania2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Germany?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Netherlands vs Germany?
On our numbers Netherlands have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Germany 40%.
When is Netherlands vs Germany?
Netherlands vs Germany (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.