Value bet: Suzhou Dongwu to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu preview and prediction
The match
Suzhou Dongwu travel to Dingnan Football Youth Training Center in the League One on Saturday 29 August (13:00 WAT) to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Suzhou Dongwu sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Hebei Kungfu 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Suzhou Dongwu's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Guangxi Hengchen 3–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Suzhou Dongwu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.3 for Suzhou Dongwu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Suzhou Dongwu to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Suzhou Dongwu36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.66Expected goals
1.37Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.29Suzhou Dongwu xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.4 – 1.3 Suzhou Dongwu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 6
LDWLDL
22 Aug
vs Hebei Kungfu
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Nanjing City
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Dalian Huayi
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Nantong Zhiyun
1–5
L
26 Jul
@ Guangxi Hengchen
4–4
D
18 Jul
vs Ningbo Professional
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suzhou Dongwu – last 6
DDWWDD
22 Aug
@ Guangxi Hengchen
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Changchun Yatai
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Dalian Huayi
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Suzhou Dongwu.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Suzhou Dongwu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Suzhou Dongwu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Suzhou Dongwu (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
