Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Nanjing City take on Guangxi Hengchen on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Wutaishan Stadium. Nanjing City are 12th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Guangxi Hengchen sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nanjing City's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Shenzhen Juniors 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guangxi Hengchen's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Suzhou Dongwu 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Guangxi Hengchen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Nanjing City and 1.5 for Guangxi Hengchen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nanjing City 31%, draw 22%, Guangxi Hengchen 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Nanjing City 1–1 Guangxi Hengchen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nanjing City31%fair 3.24 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Guangxi Hengchen47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
2.60Expected goals
1.12Nanjing City xG
1.47Guangxi Hengchen xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nanjing City 1.1 – 1.5 Guangxi Hengchen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✓
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guangxi Hengchen / FT Guangxi Hengchen✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.11
–
Form
Nanjing City – last 6
LDDDLL
23 Aug
@ Shenzhen Juniors
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Nantong Zhiyun
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Changchun Yatai
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Guangzhou E-Power
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guangxi Hengchen – last 6
DWLWDW
22 Aug
vs Suzhou Dongwu
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Guangzhou E-Power
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Ningbo Professional
4–2
W
26 Jul
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
4–4
D
18 Jul
vs Shaanxi Union
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nanjing City and Guangxi Hengchen.
What is the prediction for Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
On our numbers Nanjing City have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guangxi Hengchen 47%.
How many goals will there be in Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our predicted score is Nanjing City 1–1 Guangxi Hengchen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wutaishan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
