Value bet: Hebei Kungfu to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu preview and prediction
The match
Hebei Kungfu travel to Dingnan Football Youth Training Center in the League One on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT) to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Hebei Kungfu sit 8th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Nanjing City 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Hebei Kungfu's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Dongguan United 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hebei Kungfu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Hebei Kungfu 1–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.3 for Hebei Kungfu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Hebei Kungfu to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Hebei Kungfu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring40%fair 2.51 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Hebei Kungfu36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.34Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
1.26Hebei Kungfu xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.3 – 1.3 Hebei Kungfu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
40%
2.51
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heilongjiang Lava Spring / FT Heilongjiang Lava Spring✗
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hebei Kungfu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Hebei Kungfu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Hebei Kungfu (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
