Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuangxi Hengchen to win ✗62% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Guangxi Hengchen take on Suzhou Dongwu on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Guangxi Sports Center. Guangxi Hengchen are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Suzhou Dongwu sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guangxi Hengchen's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Meizhou Kejia 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Suzhou Dongwu's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Nantong Zhiyun 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guangxi Hengchen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Guangxi Hengchen and 0.8 for Suzhou Dongwu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Guangxi Hengchen 1–0 Suzhou Dongwu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guangxi Hengchen62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.70
Suzhou Dongwu19%fair 5.16 · @6.00
2.54Expected goals
1.74Guangxi Hengchen xG
0.80Suzhou Dongwu xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guangxi Hengchen 1.7 – 0.8 Suzhou Dongwu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Guangxi Hengchen ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guangxi Hengchen / FT Guangxi Hengchen✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Guangxi Hengchen – last 6
WLWDWW
15 Aug
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Guangzhou E-Power
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Ningbo Professional
4–2
W
26 Jul
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
4–4
D
18 Jul
vs Shaanxi Union
3–0
W
5 Jul
vs Dalian Huayi
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suzhou Dongwu – last 6
DWWDDL
16 Aug
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Changchun Yatai
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Meizhou Kejia
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Dalian Huayi
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Yanbian Longding
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guangxi Hengchen and Suzhou Dongwu.
What is the prediction for Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu?
On our numbers Guangxi Hengchen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Suzhou Dongwu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our predicted score is Guangxi Hengchen 1–0 Suzhou Dongwu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Guangxi Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
