Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Nanjing City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nanjing City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNanjing City to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceNanjing City or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.81
Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring preview and prediction
The match
Nanjing City host Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Wutaishan Stadium. Nanjing City are 12th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nanjing City's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Nantong Zhiyun 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Dalian Huayi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 Nanjing City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Nanjing City and 0.8 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nanjing City 64%, draw 20%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 16%.
Safer route: Nanjing City or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Nanjing City to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nanjing City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nanjing City 1–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nanjing City64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.25
Heilongjiang Lava Spring16%fair 6.40 · @3.65
2.70Expected goals
1.90Nanjing City xG
0.80Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nanjing City 1.9 – 0.8 Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our pick is Nanjing City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
On our numbers Nanjing City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Our predicted score is Nanjing City 1–0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
Nanjing City vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring (League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wutaishan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
