Value bet: Hebei Kungfu to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDongguan United to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Dongguan United take on Hebei Kungfu on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center. Dongguan United are 16th with 16 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Hebei Kungfu sit 8th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dongguan United's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Meizhou Kejia 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Hebei Kungfu's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Shaanxi Union 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hebei Kungfu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Hebei Kungfu 0–1 Dongguan United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Dongguan United and 1.2 for Hebei Kungfu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dongguan United 38%, draw 24%, Hebei Kungfu 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Hebei Kungfu to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Dongguan United 1–1 Hebei Kungfu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dongguan United38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Hebei Kungfu38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.23Dongguan United xG
1.22Hebei Kungfu xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Dongguan United 1.2 – 1.2 Hebei Kungfu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu?
On our numbers Dongguan United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hebei Kungfu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu?
Our predicted score is Dongguan United 1–1 Hebei Kungfu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu?
Dongguan United vs Hebei Kungfu (League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
