Nanjing City vs Dongguan United prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Nanjing City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNanjing City to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceNanjing City or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Nanjing City vs Dongguan United preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Nanjing City take on Dongguan United on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Wutaishan Stadium. Nanjing City are 12th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Dongguan United sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nanjing City's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Hebei Kungfu 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dongguan United's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Yanbian Longding 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Nanjing City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Nanjing City and 0.7 for Dongguan United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nanjing City 65%, draw 20%, Dongguan United 15%.
Safer route: Nanjing City or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nanjing City to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nanjing City 1–0 Dongguan United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nanjing City65%fair 1.54 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.20
Dongguan United15%fair 6.62 · @3.90
2.51Expected goals
1.81Nanjing City xG
0.71Dongguan United xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Nanjing City 1.8 – 0.7 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nanjing City to win✓
65%
1.54
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Nanjing City or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Nanjing City ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nanjing City / FT Nanjing City✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.84
–
Form
Nanjing City – last 6
LLWDWW
27 Jun
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Ningbo Professional
1–2
L
29 May
@ Shaanxi Union
1–0
W
23 May
@ Wuxi Wugou
1–1
D
9 May
vs Meizhou Kejia
2–0
W
3 May
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dongguan United – last 6
LLDDDD
27 Jun
vs Yanbian Longding
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Shaanxi Union
0–5
L
30 May
@ Guangxi Hengchen
3–3
D
23 May
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
10 May
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–1
D
2 May
@ Dalian Huayi
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nanjing City and Dongguan United.
What is the prediction for Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Nanjing City to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Nanjing City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dongguan United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Nanjing City 1–0 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Nanjing City vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wutaishan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
