Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai preview and prediction
The match
Changchun Yatai travel to Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre in the League One on Sunday 5 July (12:30 WAT) to face Meizhou Kejia. Meizhou Kejia are 15th with 16 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Changchun Yatai sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Meizhou Kejia's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Nantong Zhiyun 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Changchun Yatai's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Guangxi Hengchen 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Meizhou Kejia and 1.5 for Changchun Yatai. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Meizhou Kejia 1–1 Changchun Yatai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Meizhou Kejia37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Changchun Yatai40%fair 2.51 · @2.33
2.91Expected goals
1.43Meizhou Kejia xG
1.49Changchun Yatai xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Meizhou Kejia 1.4 – 1.5 Changchun Yatai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changchun Yatai to win✓
40%
2.51
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changchun Yatai / FT Changchun Yatai✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Form
Meizhou Kejia – last 6
WDDWLL
27 Jun
@ Nantong Zhiyun
3–1
W
14 Jun
@ Wuxi Wugou
1–1
D
30 May
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
2–2
D
24 May
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
16 May
@ Rizhao Yuqi
1–2
L
9 May
@ Nanjing City
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Changchun Yatai – last 6
LWDLWL
27 Jun
vs Guangxi Hengchen
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Dalian Huayi
2–1
W
30 May
@ Yanbian Longding
2–2
D
24 May
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–4
L
9 May
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
3–2
W
3 May
@ Ningbo Professional
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Meizhou Kejia and Changchun Yatai.
What is the prediction for Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai?
On our numbers Meizhou Kejia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Changchun Yatai 40%.
How many goals will there be in Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai?
Our predicted score is Meizhou Kejia 1–1 Changchun Yatai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai?
Meizhou Kejia vs Changchun Yatai (League One) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
