Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Dongguan United to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDongguan United to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceDongguan United or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu preview and prediction
The match
Suzhou Dongwu travel to Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center in the League One on Sunday 10 May (12:30 WAT) to face Dongguan United. Dongguan United are 16th with 16 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Suzhou Dongwu sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dongguan United's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Dalian Huayi 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Suzhou Dongwu's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Nanjing City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Dongguan United and 0.7 for Suzhou Dongwu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dongguan United 58%, draw 22%, Suzhou Dongwu 20%.
Safer route: Dongguan United or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Dongguan United to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dongguan United 1–0 Suzhou Dongwu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dongguan United58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Suzhou Dongwu20%fair 5.03 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.54Dongguan United xG
0.75Suzhou Dongwu xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Dongguan United 1.5 – 0.7 Suzhou Dongwu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dongguan United to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Dongguan United or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dongguan United / FT Dongguan United✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.39
–
Form
Dongguan United – last 6
DWLWLL
2 May
@ Dalian Huayi
2–2
D
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Changchun Yatai
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou E-Power
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suzhou Dongwu – last 4
LLWL
3 May
@ Nanjing City
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Changchun Yatai
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Meizhou Kejia
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Dalian Huayi
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dongguan United and Suzhou Dongwu.
What is the prediction for Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
On our numbers Dongguan United have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Suzhou Dongwu 20%.
How many goals will there be in Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Our predicted score is Dongguan United 1–0 Suzhou Dongwu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu?
Dongguan United vs Suzhou Dongwu (League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
