Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Guangxi Hengchen to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuangxi Hengchen to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen preview and prediction
The match
Yanbian Longding host Guangxi Hengchen in the League One on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium. Yanbian Longding are 6th with 46 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Guangxi Hengchen sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Yanbian Longding's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Wuxi Wugou 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guangxi Hengchen's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Hebei Kungfu 3–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guangxi Hengchen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Yanbian Longding and 1.0 for Guangxi Hengchen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Guangxi Hengchen to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Yanbian Longding 0–0 Guangxi Hengchen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yanbian Longding35%fair 2.85 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Guangxi Hengchen39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
1.91Expected goals
0.92Yanbian Longding xG
0.99Guangxi Hengchen xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Yanbian Longding 0.9 – 1.0 Guangxi Hengchen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✗
39%
2.58
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Yanbian Longding – last 6
DDDWLD
2 May
vs Wuxi Wugou
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Shaanxi Union
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Ningbo Professional
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Dalian Huayi
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Nanjing City
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guangxi Hengchen – last 4
WWWL
2 May
@ Hebei Kungfu
3–0
W
4 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Ningbo Professional
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yanbian Longding and Guangxi Hengchen.
What is the prediction for Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen?
On our numbers Yanbian Longding have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guangxi Hengchen 39%.
How many goals will there be in Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Our predicted score is Yanbian Longding 0–0 Guangxi Hengchen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen (League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
