Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeilongjiang Lava Spring to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union preview and prediction
The match
Shaanxi Union travel to Dingnan Football Youth Training Center in the League One on Saturday 2 May (12:30 WAT) to face Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Shaanxi Union sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Hebei Kungfu 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shaanxi Union's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Yanbian Longding 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.0 for Shaanxi Union. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 41%, draw 25%, Shaanxi Union 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–0 Shaanxi Union. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heilongjiang Lava Spring41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
Shaanxi Union35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
2.03Expected goals
1.07Heilongjiang Lava Spring xG
0.96Shaanxi Union xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.1 – 1.0 Shaanxi Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win✗
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring – last 5
WDDDW
19 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Nanjing City
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Dalian Huayi
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Nantong Zhiyun
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Guangxi Hengchen
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Shaanxi Union – last 5
DDLWL
25 Apr
@ Yanbian Longding
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
11 Apr
@ Changchun Yatai
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Shenzhen Juniors
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Shaanxi Union.
What is the prediction for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
On our numbers Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shaanxi Union 35%.
How many goals will there be in Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
Our predicted score is Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–0 Shaanxi Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shaanxi Union (League One) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Dingnan Football Youth Training Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
