Value bet: Dalian Huayi to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDalian Huayi to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceDalian Huayi or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Dalian Huayi take on Dongguan United on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Dalian Sports Center Stadium. Dalian Huayi are 11th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Dongguan United sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dalian Huayi's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Nantong Zhiyun 0–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Dongguan United's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Shenzhen Juniors 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Dalian Huayi and 0.7 for Dongguan United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dalian Huayi 63%, draw 25%, Dongguan United 12%.
Safer route: Dalian Huayi or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Dalian Huayi to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Dalian Huayi 2–0 Dongguan United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dalian Huayi63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Dongguan United12%fair 8.65 · @4.40
2.64Expected goals
1.90Dalian Huayi xG
0.73Dongguan United xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dalian Huayi 1.9 – 0.7 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dalian Huayi to win✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Dalian Huayi or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Dalian Huayi ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dalian Huayi / FT Dalian Huayi✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Dalian Huayi – last 5
LWLDW
26 Apr
@ Nantong Zhiyun
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Wuxi Wugou
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Yanbian Longding
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Suzhou Dongwu
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Dongguan United – last 6
WLWLLL
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Changchun Yatai
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Meizhou Kejia
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Guangzhou E-Power
2–3
L
14 Mar
@ Wuxi Wugou
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dalian Huayi and Dongguan United.
What is the prediction for Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Dalian Huayi have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dongguan United 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Dalian Huayi 2–0 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United?
Dalian Huayi vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalian Sports Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
