Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Torque travel to Estadio Belvedere in the Primera División Apertura on Tuesday 17 March (00:00 WAT) to face Liverpool Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Atletico Torque sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Boston River 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Torque's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Cerro Largo 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.1 for Atletico Torque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 45%, draw 25%, Atletico Torque 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Atletico Torque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Atletico Torque30%fair 3.28 · @2.98
2.52Expected goals
1.44Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.08Atletico Torque xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 – 1.1 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+15%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.07
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
45%
2.23
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.63
–
Form
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWDDLL
10 Mar
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 5
WWWWD
9 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Torque 30%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
