Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Juventud to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDanubio to win ✓41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Danubio vs Juventud preview and prediction
The match
Danubio host Juventud in the Primera División Apertura on Monday 16 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Jardines Del Hipódromo. Danubio are 14th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Juventud sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Danubio's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Penarol 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Juventud's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Danubio and 1.0 for Juventud. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Danubio 41%, draw 28%, Juventud 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Juventud to win at 3.45 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Danubio 1–1 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Danubio41%fair 2.45 · @2.08
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.10
Juventud31%fair 3.22 · @3.45
2.12Expected goals
1.09Danubio xG
1.04Juventud xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Danubio 1.1 – 1.0 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Danubio
Juventud
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-34%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-6%
Our expected goals here
0.79
0.86
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Danubio to win✓
41%
2.45
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Danubio – last 3
DLW
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Boston River
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Juventud – last 6
LDLWLD
13 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Club Guarani
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Central Espanol
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Danubio and Juventud.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Danubio vs Juventud?
On our numbers Danubio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Juventud 31%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Juventud?
Danubio vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jardines Del Hipódromo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
