Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18% · fair 5.60
Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Diyala take on Al Quwa Al Jawiya on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Diyala are 12th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Quwa Al Jawiya sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Gharraf 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Diyala and 1.5 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Diyala 18%, draw 20%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 62%.
Safer route: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Diyala 0–1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Diyala18%fair 5.62 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.10
Al Quwa Al Jawiya62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
2.14Expected goals
0.62Diyala xG
1.52Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
41%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Diyala 0.6 – 1.5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
18%
5.60
–
Form
Diyala
No recent results on record.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 3
WWW
6 Mar
@ Gharraf
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Al Talaba
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Newroz
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diyala and Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
What is the prediction for Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
On our numbers Diyala have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Quwa Al Jawiya 62%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Our predicted score is Diyala 0–1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Diyala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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