Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.50 – our chance 54% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultES Zarzis to win ✗71% · @1.42
Double chanceES Zarzis or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54% · @2.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗9% · fair 10.63
ES Zarzis vs Korba preview and prediction
The match
ES Zarzis host Korba in the Cup on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Form guide
ES Zarzis's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to AS Soliman 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for ES Zarzis and 1.0 for Korba. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Zarzis 71%, draw 20%, Korba 10%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.50 – 54% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ES Zarzis to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: ES Zarzis 2–0 Korba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Zarzis71%fair 1.42 · @1.42
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.50
Korba10%fair 10.16 · @8.00
3.60Expected goals
2.62ES Zarzis xG
0.98Korba xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 2.6 – 1.0 Korba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Zarzis to win✗
71%
1.42
1.42
Double chance
ES Zarzis or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
2.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
ES Zarzis ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Zarzis / FT ES Zarzis✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
ES Zarzis – last 3
LDL
6 Mar
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs JS Kairouanaise
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ US Monastirienne
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Korba – last 2
LD
27 Feb
@ Kalaâ Sport
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Ksour Essef
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Zarzis and Korba.
Our pick is ES Zarzis to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs Korba?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Korba 10%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs Korba?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs Korba?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 2–0 Korba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs Korba?
ES Zarzis vs Korba (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia · Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
CA Bizertin1
AS Marsa1
Jendouba Sport2
Sfax Railways0
JS Kairouanaise0
CS Sfaxien0
US Monastirienne1
Club Africain0
M'saken4
US Ben Guerdane1
AS Soliman2
Stade Tunisien2