BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
BG Pathum United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓8% · fair 13.08
BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United preview and prediction
The match
BG Pathum United host Mahasarakham United in the League Cup on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at BG Stadium.
Form guide
BG Pathum United's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Chonburi FC 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mahasarakham United's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Pattani 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for BG Pathum United and 0.8 for Mahasarakham United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: BG Pathum United 64%, draw 20%, Mahasarakham United 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BG Pathum United to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: BG Pathum United 1–0 Mahasarakham United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BG Pathum United64%fair 1.56 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @5.00
Mahasarakham United16%fair 6.23 · @7.00
2.73Expected goals
1.92BG Pathum United xG
0.81Mahasarakham United xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.9 – 0.8 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
64%
1.56
1.30
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
8%
13.08
–
Form
BG Pathum United – last 4
LWWL
8 Mar
vs Chonburi FC
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Sukhothai FC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Ayutthaya FC
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Mahasarakham United – last 6
LDWDWW
15 Mar
@ Pattani
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Police Tero
0–0
D
4 Mar
vs Esan Pattaya
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Nakhon Si Thammarat
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Songkhla
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Chainat
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Mahasarakham United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mahasarakham United 16%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–0 Mahasarakham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United?
BG Pathum United vs Mahasarakham United (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at BG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
League Cup · Thailand · BG Stadium
Chonburi FC1
Thap Luang United0
Pattani0
Buriram United3
Port FC7
Khon Kaen United0