Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChonburi FC to win ✓74% · @1.14
Double chanceChonburi FC or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United preview and prediction
The match
Chonburi FC host Thap Luang United in the League Cup on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium.
Form guide
Chonburi FC's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Buriram United 0–5 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Chonburi FC and 0.7 for Thap Luang United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 42% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chonburi FC 74%, draw 15%, Thap Luang United 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Chonburi FC 3–0 Thap Luang United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chonburi FC74%fair 1.36 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.50 · @7.00
Thap Luang United11%fair 9.23 · @10.00
2.91Expected goals
2.23Chonburi FC xG
0.68Thap Luang United xG
42%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chonburi FC 2.2 – 0.7 Thap Luang United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chonburi FC to win✓
74%
1.36
1.14
Double chance
Chonburi FC or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Chonburi FC ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chonburi FC / FT Chonburi FC✗
48%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Chonburi FC – last 5
LWLWD
14 Mar
@ Buriram United
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ BG Pathum United
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Ayutthaya FC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Chiangrai United
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Uthai Thani
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Thap Luang United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chonburi FC and Thap Luang United.
What is the prediction for Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United?
On our numbers Chonburi FC have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Thap Luang United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United?
Our predicted score is Chonburi FC 3–0 Thap Luang United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United?
Chonburi FC vs Thap Luang United (League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.