Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay preview and prediction
The match
FK Tobol Kostanay travel to Centralnyj Stadion in the Premier League on Sunday 16 August (13:00 WAT) to face Irtysh. Irtysh are 12th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while FK Tobol Kostanay sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Irtysh's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Yelimay Semey 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to FK Partizan 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Irtysh and 1.3 for FK Tobol Kostanay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Irtysh 37%, draw 23%, FK Tobol Kostanay 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Irtysh 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irtysh37%fair 2.71 · @2.65
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
FK Tobol Kostanay40%fair 2.49 · @2.38
2.59Expected goals
1.26Irtysh xG
1.33FK Tobol Kostanay xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Irtysh 1.3 – 1.3 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win✓
40%
2.49
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay✓
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
Irtysh – last 6
LWWLDL
9 Aug
@ Yelimay Semey
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Kaspiy
3–2
W
25 Jul
@ Ulytau
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Zhenys
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ Kaisar
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Kaisar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
LLLDWD
13 Aug
vs FK Partizan
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ FK Partizan
0–3
L
2 Aug
@ Ordabasy
0–2
L
30 Jul
vs Panevėžys
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Atyrau
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Panevėžys
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irtysh and FK Tobol Kostanay.
What is the prediction for Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers Irtysh have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Tobol Kostanay 40%.
How many goals will there be in Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is Irtysh 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
