Value bet: Okzhetpes to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOkzhetpes to win ✓44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes preview and prediction
The match
Okzhetpes travel to Turkestan Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 16 August (16:00 WAT) to face Atyrau. Atyrau are 13th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Okzhetpes sit 4th on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atyrau's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Aktobe 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Okzhetpes's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FC Astana 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Okzhetpes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Okzhetpes 0–0 Atyrau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Atyrau and 1.3 for Okzhetpes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atyrau 34%, draw 22%, Okzhetpes 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Okzhetpes to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atyrau 1–1 Okzhetpes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atyrau34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Okzhetpes44%fair 2.26 · @2.62
2.41Expected goals
1.10Atyrau xG
1.31Okzhetpes xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.1 – 1.3 Okzhetpes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Okzhetpes 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 1–1 Okzhetpes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs Okzhetpes?
Atyrau vs Okzhetpes (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
