Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Al Minaa Basra to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Minaa Basra or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.08
Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra preview and prediction
The match
Al Minaa Basra travel to face Al Najaf in the Iraqi League on Friday 6 March (19:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Al Najaf and 1.6 for Al Minaa Basra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najaf 16%, draw 24%, Al Minaa Basra 60%.
Safer route: Al Minaa Basra or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Al Minaa Basra to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Minaa Basra or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Najaf 0–1 Al Minaa Basra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najaf16%fair 6.26 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Al Minaa Basra60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
2.28Expected goals
0.67Al Najaf xG
1.60Al Minaa Basra xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Al Najaf 0.7 – 1.6 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Minaa Basra or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.08
–
Form
Al Najaf – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Minaa Basra – last 2
WL
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najaf and Al Minaa Basra.
What is the prediction for Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Al Minaa Basra or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Al Najaf have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Minaa Basra 60%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Al Najaf 0–1 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra?
Al Najaf vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
