Value bet: Mashuk-KMV to win @ 2.66 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMashuk-KMV to win ✓40% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League A Fall Season Gold sees Mashuk-KMV take on Novosibirsk on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Central Stadium. Mashuk-KMV are 6th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Novosibirsk sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mashuk-KMV's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Irtysh Omsk 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novosibirsk's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Veles 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Novosibirsk 2–2 Mashuk-KMV.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Mashuk-KMV and 1.2 for Novosibirsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Mashuk-KMV to win at 2.66 – 40% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Novosibirsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mashuk-KMV40%fair 2.48 · @2.66
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.34
Novosibirsk37%fair 2.71 · @2.29
2.48Expected goals
1.28Mashuk-KMV xG
1.20Novosibirsk xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.3 – 1.2 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Novosibirsk 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk?
Mashuk-KMV vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Irtysh Omsk0
Tekstilshchik0
Leningradets2
Veles3
Torpedo Miass2