Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceNovosibirsk or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.37
Novosibirsk vs Veles preview and prediction
The match
Veles travel to Stadion Spartak in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Wednesday 27 May (13:30 WAT) to face Novosibirsk.
Form guide
Novosibirsk's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Irtysh Omsk 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Veles's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Tekstilshchik 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novosibirsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Veles 2–0 Novosibirsk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Novosibirsk and 0.8 for Veles. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Novosibirsk to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Novosibirsk 1–0 Veles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novosibirsk58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @2.99
Veles19%fair 5.22 · @3.96
2.51Expected goals
1.67Novosibirsk xG
0.84Veles xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.7 – 0.8 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Veles?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Veles 19%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Veles?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Veles?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–0 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Veles?
Novosibirsk vs Veles (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Torpedo Miass0
Tekstilshchik1
Irtysh Omsk0
Leningradets0