Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League A Fall Season Gold sees Rodina Moskva II take on Novosibirsk on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. Rodina Moskva II are 2nd with 31 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Novosibirsk sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Irtysh Omsk 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Novosibirsk's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Leningradets 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Novosibirsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Novosibirsk 1–0 Rodina Moskva II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Rodina Moskva II and 1.4 for Novosibirsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva II 32%, draw 24%, Novosibirsk 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.68.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva II32%fair 3.12 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Novosibirsk44%fair 2.27 · @2.40
2.57Expected goals
1.16Rodina Moskva II xG
1.41Novosibirsk xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.2 – 1.4 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novosibirsk 44%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leningradets0
Torpedo Miass0
Irtysh Omsk0
Veles0
Tekstilshchik1