Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets preview and prediction
The match
Rodina Moskva II host Leningradets in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Form guide
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Tekstilshchik 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Leningradets's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Torpedo Miass 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leningradets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Leningradets 0–0 Rodina Moskva II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Rodina Moskva II and 1.0 for Leningradets. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva II 39%, draw 26%, Leningradets 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Leningradets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva II39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.83
Leningradets35%fair 2.82 · @2.92
2.12Expected goals
1.09Rodina Moskva II xG
1.03Leningradets xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.1 – 1.0 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leningradets 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets?
Rodina Moskva II vs Leningradets (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tekstilshchik0
Veles0
Irtysh Omsk1
Torpedo Miass1