Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.52 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
2
Value bet: Volgar Astrakhan to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolgar Astrakhan to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan preview and prediction
The match
The Second League A Fall Season Gold sees Rodina Moskva II take on Volgar Astrakhan on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. Rodina Moskva II are 2nd with 31 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Volgar Astrakhan sit 9th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Kaluga 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Volgar Astrakhan's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Leningradets 3–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Rodina Moskva II and 1.0 for Volgar Astrakhan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva II 36%, draw 26%, Volgar Astrakhan 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Volgar Astrakhan to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.52. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva II 0–1 Volgar Astrakhan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva II36%fair 2.80 · @2.47
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Volgar Astrakhan39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
1.95Expected goals
0.95Rodina Moskva II xG
1.00Volgar Astrakhan xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–014%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 0.9 – 1.0 Volgar Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volgar Astrakhan to win✗
39%
2.58
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Rodina Moskva II – last 6
DDLLDD
8 Apr
@ Kaluga
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Novosibirsk
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Irtysh Omsk
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Veles
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leningradets
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Volgar Astrakhan – last 6
WDLLLD
8 Apr
vs Leningradets
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Torpedo Miass
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Tekstilshchik
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Veles
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Kaluga
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva II and Volgar Astrakhan.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Volgar Astrakhan 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 0–1 Volgar Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan?
Rodina Moskva II vs Volgar Astrakhan (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.