Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChile W to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.95
Paraguay W vs Chile W preview and prediction
The match
Paraguay W host Chile W in the Friendlies Women on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carfem.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.9 for Paraguay W and 2.2 for Chile W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paraguay W 33%, draw 22%, Chile W 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paraguay W 1–2 Chile W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paraguay W33%fair 3.08 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Chile W46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
4.09Expected goals
1.87Paraguay W xG
2.22Chile W xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Paraguay W 1.9 – 2.2 Chile W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chile W to win✓
46%
2.18
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.28 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.30
Half-time result
Chile W ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chile W / FT Chile W✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.95
–
Form
Paraguay W
No recent results on record.
Chile W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguay W and Chile W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Paraguay W vs Chile W?
On our numbers Paraguay W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chile W 46%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguay W vs Chile W?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay W vs Chile W?
Our predicted score is Paraguay W 1–2 Chile W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Paraguay W vs Chile W?
Paraguay W vs Chile W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carfem.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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