Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEcuador W to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.43
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W preview and prediction
The match
Ecuador W host Uruguay W in the Friendlies Women on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Ecuador W and 1.2 for Uruguay W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ecuador W 39%, draw 23%, Uruguay W 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ecuador W 1–1 Uruguay W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ecuador W39%fair 2.53 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Uruguay W38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
2.47Expected goals
1.25Ecuador W xG
1.22Uruguay W xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ecuador W 1.2 – 1.2 Uruguay W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ecuador W to win✗
39%
2.53
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ecuador W / FT Ecuador W✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.43
–
Form
Ecuador W
No recent results on record.
Uruguay W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador W and Uruguay W.
What is the prediction for Ecuador W vs Uruguay W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ecuador W vs Uruguay W?
On our numbers Ecuador W have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Uruguay W 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador W vs Uruguay W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador W vs Uruguay W?
Our predicted score is Ecuador W 1–1 Uruguay W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ecuador W vs Uruguay W?
Ecuador W vs Uruguay W (Friendlies Women) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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