Value bet: Guarani Campinas to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuarani Campinas to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceGuarani Campinas or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.68
Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS preview and prediction
The match
Ypiranga-RS travel to face Guarani Campinas in the Serie C on Tuesday 18 August (00:00 WAT). Guarani Campinas are 10th with 28 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Ypiranga-RS sit 9th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guarani Campinas's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Anápolis 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ypiranga-RS's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Floresta 4–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ypiranga-RS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Guarani Campinas and 0.8 for Ypiranga-RS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%.
Safer route: Guarani Campinas or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Guarani Campinas to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Guarani Campinas 2–0 Ypiranga-RS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guarani Campinas64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.45
Ypiranga-RS12%fair 8.54 · @4.33
2.71Expected goals
1.96Guarani Campinas xG
0.75Ypiranga-RS xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guarani Campinas 2.0 – 0.8 Ypiranga-RS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarani Campinas to win✗
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Guarani Campinas or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Guarani Campinas ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.68
–
Form
Guarani Campinas – last 6
LWLDDL
11 Aug
@ Anápolis
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs Inter De Limeira
3–1
W
12 Jul
@ Paysandu
2–3
L
5 Jul
vs Floresta
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Figueirense
1–1
D
22 Jun
@ Confiança
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ypiranga-RS – last 6
WWLWDW
9 Aug
vs Floresta
4–1
W
26 Jul
vs Barra
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Maranhão
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
29 Jun
vs Confiança
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guarani Campinas and Ypiranga-RS.
What is the prediction for Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS?
On our numbers Guarani Campinas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ypiranga-RS 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS?
Our predicted score is Guarani Campinas 2–0 Ypiranga-RS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS?
Guarani Campinas vs Ypiranga-RS (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
