Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaranhão to win ✓37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Maranhão vs Brusque preview and prediction
The match
Maranhão host Brusque in the Serie C on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Maranhão are 12th with 27 points from 19 games, while Brusque sit 3rd on 7 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maranhão's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Ferroviária 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brusque's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Ituano 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Brusque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Maranhão and 1.1 for Brusque. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maranhão 37%, draw 26%, Brusque 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Maranhão 1–1 Brusque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maranhão37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Brusque37%fair 2.69 · @2.85
2.20Expected goals
1.10Maranhão xG
1.10Brusque xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.1 – 1.1 Brusque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✓
37%
2.69
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✗
20%
5.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Maranhão – last 6
DWLDLD
25 Jul
@ Ferroviária
0–0
D
12 Jul
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
29 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brusque – last 6
WLWLWL
26 Jul
vs Ituano
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Figueirense
3–1
W
1 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Floresta
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Brusque.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Maranhão vs Brusque?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Brusque 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Brusque?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Brusque?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Brusque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Brusque?
Maranhão vs Brusque (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
