Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultConfiança to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceConfiança or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.04
Confiança vs AO Itabaiana preview and prediction
The match
Confiança host AO Itabaiana in the Serie C on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Confiança are 20th with 13 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while AO Itabaiana sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Confiança's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Botafogo PB 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AO Itabaiana's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Brusque 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AO Itabaiana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 April 2026, finished AO Itabaiana 0–1 Confiança. Across their last 2 meetings Confiança have won 1, AO Itabaiana 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Confiança and 0.5 for AO Itabaiana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Confiança 62%, draw 26%, AO Itabaiana 12%.
Safer route: Confiança or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Confiança to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Confiança 1–0 AO Itabaiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Confiança62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.00
AO Itabaiana12%fair 8.50 · @4.00
2.05Expected goals
1.54Confiança xG
0.51AO Itabaiana xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.5 – 0.5 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Confiança to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Confiança have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AO Itabaiana 12%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs AO Itabaiana?
Confiança vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
