Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloresta to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Floresta vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Floresta take on Barra on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Floresta are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Barra sit 17th on 21 points. A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Floresta's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Brusque 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Barra's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Amazonas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Floresta and 0.9 for Barra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Floresta 45%, draw 24%, Barra 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 51% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Floresta 1–0 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floresta45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Barra31%fair 3.20 · @3.60
2.12Expected goals
1.19Floresta xG
0.93Barra xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.2 – 0.9 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floresta to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floresta / FT Floresta✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Floresta – last 6
LLWLWL
21 Jun
@ Brusque
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Figueirense
1–2
L
30 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
26 May
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
16 May
vs Amazonas
3–2
W
5 May
vs Maranhão
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
DLDLWL
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Barra.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Floresta vs Barra?
On our numbers Floresta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barra 31%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Barra?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Floresta 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Barra?
Floresta vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
