Value bet: Volta Redonda to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolta Redonda to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceVolta Redonda or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.66
Volta Redonda vs Confiança preview and prediction
The match
Confiança travel to Raulino de Oliveira in the Serie C on Sunday 14 June (23:30 WAT) to face Volta Redonda. Volta Redonda are 16th with 21 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Confiança sit 20th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Volta Redonda's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat AO Itabaiana 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Confiança's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Floresta 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Volta Redonda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Volta Redonda and 0.5 for Confiança. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volta Redonda 58%, draw 26%, Confiança 16%.
Safer route: Volta Redonda or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Volta Redonda to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Volta Redonda 1–0 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volta Redonda58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Confiança16%fair 6.24 · @4.33
1.80Expected goals
1.30Volta Redonda xG
0.50Confiança xG
44%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Volta Redonda 1.3 – 0.5 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volta Redonda to win✓
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Volta Redonda or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volta Redonda / FT Volta Redonda✓
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.66
–
Form
Volta Redonda – last 6
WLWDLL
30 May
@ AO Itabaiana
1–0
W
27 May
@ Avai
0–3
L
24 May
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
20 May
vs Avai
2–2
D
7 May
vs Novorizontino
1–2
L
1 May
@ Caxias
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
LDWLLL
30 May
@ Floresta
0–1
L
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
14 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
10 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
7 May
vs Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volta Redonda and Confiança.
What is the prediction for Volta Redonda vs Confiança?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Volta Redonda vs Confiança?
On our numbers Volta Redonda have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Confiança 16%.
How many goals will there be in Volta Redonda vs Confiança?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volta Redonda vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Volta Redonda 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Volta Redonda vs Confiança?
Volta Redonda vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Raulino de Oliveira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.