Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Figueirense to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloresta to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Floresta vs Figueirense preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Floresta take on Figueirense on Sunday 14 June, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT). Floresta are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Figueirense sit 11th on 28 points. A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Floresta's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Confiança 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Figueirense's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Paysandu 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Floresta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Floresta and 1.0 for Figueirense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Figueirense to win at 3.70 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Floresta 1–1 Figueirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floresta40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Figueirense34%fair 2.97 · @3.70
2.15Expected goals
1.14Floresta xG
1.01Figueirense xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.1 – 1.0 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floresta to win✗
40%
2.49
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floresta / FT Floresta✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Floresta – last 6
WLWLWD
30 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
26 May
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
16 May
vs Amazonas
3–2
W
5 May
vs Maranhão
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
WDLLLD
1 Jun
vs Paysandu
2–1
W
24 May
@ Confiança
0–0
D
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
5 May
vs Barra
0–3
L
14 Apr
vs Maringá
1–3
L
7 Apr
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Figueirense.
What is the prediction for Floresta vs Figueirense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Floresta vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Floresta have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Figueirense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Floresta 1–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Figueirense?
Floresta vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
