Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloresta to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.54
Floresta vs Confiança preview and prediction
The match
Floresta host Confiança in the Serie C on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Floresta are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Confiança sit 20th on 13 points.
Form guide
Floresta's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Paysandu 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Confiança's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Figueirense 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Floresta and 0.9 for Confiança. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Floresta 1–0 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floresta45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.85
Confiança31%fair 3.18 · @3.35
1.99Expected goals
1.12Floresta xG
0.87Confiança xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.1 – 0.9 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floresta to win✓
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floresta / FT Floresta✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.54
–
Form
Floresta – last 6
LWLWDL
26 May
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
16 May
vs Amazonas
3–2
W
5 May
vs Maranhão
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–0
D
26 Feb
@ Ferroviario
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
DWLLLD
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
14 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
10 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
7 May
vs Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Confiança.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Floresta vs Confiança?
On our numbers Floresta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Confiança 31%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Confiança?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Floresta 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Confiança?
Floresta vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
