Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk preview and prediction
The match
Chelyabinsk travel to Trud Stadium in the First League on Sunday 15 March (13:00 WAT) to face Volga Ulyanovsk. Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th with 22 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Chelyabinsk sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Arsenal Tula 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Chelyabinsk's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Spartak Kostroma 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Volga Ulyanovsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.1 for Chelyabinsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 40%, draw 25%, Chelyabinsk 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.97.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.97 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk40%fair 2.47 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Chelyabinsk35%fair 2.86 · @2.98
2.39Expected goals
1.25Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.14Chelyabinsk xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.3 – 1.1 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✗
40%
2.47
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.97 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 3
WDW
9 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 5
DWWLL
7 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–3
D
28 Feb
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zenit 2
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs KAMAZ
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelyabinsk 35%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.