Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗68% · @1.30
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to BMO Stadium in the CONCACAF Champions League on Wednesday 11 March (04:00 WAT) to face Los Angeles FC.
Form guide
Los Angeles FC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FC Dallas 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat San Carlos 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Los Angeles FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Los Angeles FC and 1.1 for LD Alajuelense. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Los Angeles FC 68%, draw 17%, LD Alajuelense 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Los Angeles FC 2–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Los Angeles FC68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @5.20
LD Alajuelense15%fair 6.89 · @8.90
3.55Expected goals
2.48Los Angeles FC xG
1.07LD Alajuelense xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Los Angeles FC 2.5 – 1.1 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles FC to win✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Los Angeles FC or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.50
Half-time result
Los Angeles FC ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC✗
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Los Angeles FC – last 5
WWWWW
8 Mar
vs FC Dallas
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Houston Dynamo
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Real Espana
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Inter Miami
3–0
W
18 Feb
@ Real Espana
6–1
W
2.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 5
WWLLL
8 Mar
@ San Carlos
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs CS Cartagines
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Puntarenas FC
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Saprissa
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Sporting San Jose
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers Los Angeles FC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and LD Alajuelense 15%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC 2–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense?
Los Angeles FC vs LD Alajuelense (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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