Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.48 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓47% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul preview and prediction
The match
Monterrey host Cruz Azul in the CONCACAF Champions League on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio BBVA.
Form guide
Monterrey's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Atletico San Luis 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Monterrey 0–2 Cruz Azul.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Monterrey and 1.6 for Cruz Azul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Value angle: Cruz Azul to win at 2.48 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey32%fair 3.11 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Cruz Azul47%fair 2.12 · @2.48
2.89Expected goals
1.28Monterrey xG
1.61Cruz Azul xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Monterrey 1.3 – 1.6 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruz Azul 47%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul (CONCACAF Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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