Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 2.26 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓49% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Liverpool Montevideo travel to Estadio Campeones Olimpicos in the Primera División Apertura on Tuesday 10 March (01:30 WAT) to face Boston River. Boston River are 11th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Boston River's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Racing Montevideo 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Cerro Largo 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Boston River and 1.3 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boston River 27%, draw 23%, Liverpool Montevideo 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Liverpool Montevideo to win at 2.26 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Boston River 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boston River27%fair 3.68 · @3.15
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Liverpool Montevideo49%fair 2.02 · @2.26
2.20Expected goals
0.88Boston River xG
1.33Liverpool Montevideo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–010%
1–29%
From our goals model: Boston River 0.9 – 1.3 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
49%
2.02
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Boston River – last 3
WDL
5 Mar
vs Racing Montevideo
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Danubio
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 5
WDDLL
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Boston River have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Liverpool Montevideo 49%.
How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Boston River 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones Olimpicos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
