Premier League · Belarus · Stadion Neman
Neman
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Neman to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Neman 1.8 – 0.7 FC Dnepr Mogilev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Neman are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 13% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
Neman have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. FC Dnepr Mogilev have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Neman come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Neman, 0.7 for FC Dnepr Mogilev). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Neman have won 0, FC Dnepr Mogilev have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Neman to win at 1.67 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Neman to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Neman or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.94 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Neman ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Neman / FT Neman ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.44 | – |
Form
Neman – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Dinamo Minsk | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Dinamo Brest | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ ML Vitebsk | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | @ Bate Borisov | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Baranovichi | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ FC Isloch Minsk R. | 2–1 | W |
FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs FC Gomel | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Arsenal | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Bate Borisov | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Dinamo Minsk | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Dinamo Brest | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs ML Vitebsk | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 28 Jun 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev v Neman | 2–0 |
More Premier League predictions
Bate Borisov1
Torpedo Zhodino0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.33
✗
FT
Belshina2
FC Isloch Minsk R.3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
66%@1.47
✗
FT
FC Gomel2
Arsenal0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
FT
FC Minsk2
Dinamo Brest2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.23
✓
FT
Naftan0
ML Vitebsk5
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
65%@1.35
✓
FT
FC Vitebsk0
Dinamo Minsk1
2Dinamo Minsk to win
63%@1.63
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
On our numbers Neman have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Dnepr Mogilev 13%.
How many goals will there be in Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Neman.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.