Premier League · Belarus · Borisov Arena
Bate Borisov
Torpedo Zhodino
Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Torpedo Zhodino to win @ 3.15 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.2 – 1.2 Torpedo Zhodino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bate Borisov and Torpedo Zhodino on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bate Borisov have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Torpedo Zhodino have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Torpedo Zhodino come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Bate Borisov, 1.2 for Torpedo Zhodino). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Bate Borisov have won 0, Torpedo Zhodino have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.47. For a bigger price, Torpedo Zhodino to win at 3.15 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torpedo Zhodino to win ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | 3.15 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torpedo Zhodino / FT Torpedo Zhodino ✗ | 20% | 4.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.90 | – |
Form
Bate Borisov – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Arsenal | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Belshina | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Neman | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Slavia Mozyr | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Zenit | 0–1 | L |
Torpedo Zhodino – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Belshina | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Slavia Mozyr | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Naftan | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ ML Vitebsk | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ FC Minsk | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Torpedo Moskva | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 27 Jun 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino v Bate Borisov | 3–0 |
| 7 Mar 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino v Bate Borisov | 1–0 |
More Premier League predictions
Belshina2
FC Isloch Minsk R.3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
66%@1.47
✗
FT
FC Gomel2
Arsenal0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
FT
FC Minsk2
Dinamo Brest2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.23
✓
FT
Naftan0
ML Vitebsk5
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
65%@1.35
✓
FT
Neman2
FC Dnepr Mogilev1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.28
✓
FT
FC Vitebsk0
Dinamo Minsk1
2Dinamo Minsk to win
63%@1.63
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Torpedo Zhodino 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.