Premier League · Belarus · Atlant Stadium
Naftan
ML Vitebsk
Naftan vs ML Vitebsk prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Naftan 0.8 – 2.4 ML Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
ML Vitebsk travel as clear favourites – 75% to win, against 12% for Naftan.
Naftan have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. ML Vitebsk have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. ML Vitebsk come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (0.8 for Naftan, 2.4 for ML Vitebsk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 0–3 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Naftan have won 0, ML Vitebsk have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.54. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.38 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | ML Vitebsk to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.09 |
| Double chance | ML Vitebsk or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.78 |
| Half-time result | ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk ✓ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 12% | 8.61 | – |
Form
Naftan – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Baranovichi | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs FC Isloch Minsk R. | 0–6 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Torpedo Zhodino | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Belshina | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Slavia Mozyr | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Bate Borisov | 2–2 | D |
ML Vitebsk – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs FC Minsk | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ FC Isloch Minsk R. | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ FC Vitebsk | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Neman | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Torpedo Zhodino | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ FC Gomel | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
| 27 Jun 2026 | ML Vitebsk v Naftan | 2–1 |
More Premier League predictions
Bate Borisov1
Torpedo Zhodino0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.33
✗
FT
Belshina2
FC Isloch Minsk R.3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
66%@1.47
✗
FT
FC Gomel2
Arsenal0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
FT
FC Minsk2
Dinamo Brest2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.23
✓
FT
Neman2
FC Dnepr Mogilev1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.28
✓
FT
FC Vitebsk0
Dinamo Minsk1
2Dinamo Minsk to win
63%@1.63
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
On our numbers Naftan have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 14% and ML Vitebsk 75%.
How many goals will there be in Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
Naftan vs ML Vitebsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.