Premier League · Belarus · Centralnyj Stadion
FC Gomel
Arsenal
FC Gomel vs Arsenal prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.17 – our chance 53% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Gomel 1.9 – 0.7 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Gomel are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 14% for Arsenal.
FC Gomel have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Arsenal have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for FC Gomel, 0.7 for Arsenal). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, FC Gomel have won 0, Arsenal have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.17 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Gomel to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | FC Gomel or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 2.17 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Half-time result | FC Gomel ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Gomel / FT FC Gomel ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.15 | – |
Form
FC Gomel – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Dinamo Minsk | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Dinamo Brest | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs ML Vitebsk | 1–5 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Belshina | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Baranovichi | 2–0 | W |
Arsenal – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Bate Borisov | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs FC Dnepr Mogilev | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | @ Dinamo Minsk | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Dinamo Brest | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs FC Minsk | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ ML Vitebsk | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Jun 2026 | Arsenal v FC Gomel | 1–1 |
More Premier League predictions
Bate Borisov1
Torpedo Zhodino0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.33
✗
FT
Belshina2
FC Isloch Minsk R.3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
66%@1.47
✗
FT
FC Minsk2
Dinamo Brest2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.23
✓
FT
Naftan0
ML Vitebsk5
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
65%@1.35
✓
FT
Neman2
FC Dnepr Mogilev1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.28
✓
FT
FC Vitebsk0
Dinamo Minsk1
2Dinamo Minsk to win
63%@1.63
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
On our numbers FC Gomel have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Arsenal 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
FC Gomel vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.