Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Slavia Mozyr to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Mozyr to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.18
Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Naftan take on Slavia Mozyr on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Atlant Stadium. Naftan are 16th with 17 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Slavia Mozyr sit 10th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naftan's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Bate Borisov 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Slavia Mozyr's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to FC Minsk 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Naftan and 1.5 for Slavia Mozyr. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Slavia Mozyr to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Slavia Mozyr or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naftan 0–1 Slavia Mozyr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naftan13%fair 7.67 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
Slavia Mozyr62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
2.07Expected goals
0.54Naftan xG
1.53Slavia Mozyr xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Naftan 0.5 – 1.5 Slavia Mozyr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Mozyr to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Slavia Mozyr or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Mozyr / FT Slavia Mozyr✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.18
–
Form
Naftan – last 6
DLLLDD
10 May
vs Bate Borisov
0–0
D
1 May
@ FC Minsk
2–4
L
10 Apr
vs FC Gomel
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs FC Vitebsk
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Slavia Mozyr – last 6
LDLDLL
9 May
vs FC Minsk
1–2
L
3 May
@ FC Vitebsk
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Neman
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ FC Gomel
1–3
L
15 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftan and Slavia Mozyr.
What is the prediction for Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?
Our pick is Slavia Mozyr or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?
On our numbers Naftan have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Slavia Mozyr 62%.
How many goals will there be in Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?
Our predicted score is Naftan 0–1 Slavia Mozyr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr?
Naftan vs Slavia Mozyr (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
