ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
ML Vitebsk to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultML Vitebsk to win73% · @1.22
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 4.89
ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev preview and prediction
The match
FC Dnepr Mogilev travel to Vitebsk CSK in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May (16:00 WAT) to face ML Vitebsk. ML Vitebsk are 1st with 62 points from 28 games (top of the table), while FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ML Vitebsk's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Minsk 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
ML Vitebsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for ML Vitebsk and 0.4 for FC Dnepr Mogilev. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: ML Vitebsk 73%, draw 19%, FC Dnepr Mogilev 8%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ML Vitebsk to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: ML Vitebsk 1–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ML Vitebsk73%fair 1.37 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @5.00
FC Dnepr Mogilev8%fair 12.77 · @12.00
2.17Expected goals
1.79ML Vitebsk xG
0.38FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–018%
0–011%
3–011%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 1.8 – 0.4 FC Dnepr Mogilev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win
73%
1.37
1.22
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw
92%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
4.89
–
Form
ML Vitebsk – last 5
LWLWW
29 Apr
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6
LDWLDD
26 Apr
@ FC Isloch Minsk R.
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Torpedo Zhodino
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Belshina
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Naftan
0–0
D
18 Feb
vs FC Slutsk
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ML Vitebsk and FC Dnepr Mogilev.
What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our pick is ML Vitebsk to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Dnepr Mogilev 8%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 1–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
ML Vitebsk vs FC Dnepr Mogilev (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
