Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Slavia Mozyr to win @ 1.87 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Mozyr to win ✗62% · @1.87
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✓86% · @1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.78
FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr preview and prediction
The match
Slavia Mozyr travel to Centralnyj Stadion in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May (13:00 WAT) to face FC Vitebsk. FC Vitebsk are 7th with 40 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Slavia Mozyr sit 10th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Vitebsk's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Neman 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Slavia Mozyr's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Bate Borisov 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Slavia Mozyr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for FC Vitebsk and 1.6 for Slavia Mozyr. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Vitebsk 14%, draw 25%, Slavia Mozyr 62%.
Safer route: Slavia Mozyr or draw (86%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Slavia Mozyr to win at 1.87 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Slavia Mozyr or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Vitebsk 0–1 Slavia Mozyr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Vitebsk14%fair 7.35 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.42
Slavia Mozyr62%fair 1.62 · @1.87
2.24Expected goals
0.61FC Vitebsk xG
1.62Slavia Mozyr xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: FC Vitebsk 0.6 – 1.6 Slavia Mozyr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Mozyr to win✗
62%
1.62
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Slavia Mozyr or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.21
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Mozyr / FT Slavia Mozyr✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.78
–
Form
FC Vitebsk – last 3
LDD
4 Apr
@ Neman
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Gomel
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Naftan
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Slavia Mozyr – last 6
LDLLWW
29 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Neman
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ FC Gomel
1–3
L
15 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Arsenal
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Vitebsk and Slavia Mozyr.
What is the prediction for FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
Our pick is Slavia Mozyr or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
On our numbers FC Vitebsk have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Slavia Mozyr 62%.
How many goals will there be in FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
Our predicted score is FC Vitebsk 0–1 Slavia Mozyr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
FC Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
