Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Dinamo Brest or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.21
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Dinamo Brest to win @ 1.77 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Brest to win65% · @1.77
Double chanceDinamo Brest or draw85% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals72% · @1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–118% · fair 5.65
Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest preview and prediction
The match
Bate Borisov host Dinamo Brest in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Borisov Arena. Bate Borisov are 14th with 24 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Dinamo Brest sit 4th on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bate Borisov's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Slavia Mozyr 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dinamo Brest's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Bate Borisov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Bate Borisov and 1.6 for Dinamo Brest. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Dinamo Brest to win at 1.77 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dinamo Brest or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bate Borisov 0–1 Dinamo Brest. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bate Borisov15%fair 6.78 · @4.15
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.78
Dinamo Brest65%fair 1.53 · @1.77
2.23Expected goals
0.58Bate Borisov xG
1.65Dinamo Brest xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.6 – 1.6 Dinamo Brest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Brest to win
65%
1.53
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Dinamo Brest or draw
85%
1.17
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
2.18 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.43
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Brest / FT Dinamo Brest
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
18%
5.65
–
Form
Bate Borisov – last 6
WLLWWD
29 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ FC Minsk
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs ML Vitebsk
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Baranovichi
3–0
W
21 Mar
@ Neman
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dinamo Brest – last 6
WLLLLW
9 Apr
@ FC Isloch Minsk R.
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Torpedo Zhodino
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Belshina
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ ML Vitebsk
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs ML Vitebsk
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Baranovichi
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bate Borisov and Dinamo Brest.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?
Our pick is Dinamo Brest or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dinamo Brest 65%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 Dinamo Brest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest?
Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Brest (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
